Hidden Nook

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Tuesday, February 01, 2005



Ali weighs in on Iraqi election results


[Media Source*]

(Ali in Iraq) Ali weighs in on election results and since the MSM has lost most of my confidence (well, all but Fox News and MSNBC) I will base my projections of of Ali's opinions (I can hear the critics now: getting an Iraqi opinion about election results? Shouldn't you trust Dan Rather's polling teams?)

The "United Alliance List" is still thought to win more votes than any of the rest and I believe that's what's going to happen (by the way the actual translation should be, "The Unified Coalition List" and I don't know why it was translated the other way and in fear of being somehow, wrong I kept repeating the used translation, but I was thinking today that it's wrong and should be corrected). The difference is that Allawi's list seems to have attracted more votes than what was expected. Even in Najaf, the most holy city for the She'at, the majority of the votes are reported to be split between the "Unified alliance" and Allawi.

More below (click "Read Me!")

More news from Ali:
I have seen many Arab Sunnis, She'at, Kurds and Turkmen who said they voted for Allawi.
Some of the reasons that have made many Iraqis vote for Allawi might be that he's seen as a strong man who can deal with the challenges despite his government's failure to provide a good level of security and basic needs. He just has shown more optimism and determination and looked always strong which must have gave many Iraqis a much needed hope and courage.
Still I doubt that he's going to be appointed as a Prime Minister again even if he got the second largest number of votes. Hussein Al Shahristani, the nuclear sientist from the "Unified Alliance" seems to be the candidate with better chances in the current time but there are many good candidates who have the acceptance of most parties.

At the risk of being wrong I'd like to offer my predictions of the poll results. Here's how I see it now:


The Unified Coalition List: 30-35%

Allawi's list: 20-25%

Itihad Al Sha'ab (the communist party): 10-15%

The Kurdish Alliance: 10-15%

Al Yawir: 4-5%

Al Pachachi: 2-3%

Other Kurdish parties, Turkmen and other minorities: 4-5%

Small democratic parties: 4-5%

Individuals and others: 1-2%

Interesting scoop. I look forward to hearing how and what the Iraqi's put in their constitution. It makes me tear up to see another free government in a region known for tyranny. May God bless and be with Ali and his Iraqi friends! Selah!



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By Darnell Clayton • 10:32 PM • Email Post • •

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